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11.28.2020 - This is for ALL the Marbles Click Here Bookmark

All the Marbles, Again

By the time you read this, any number of things could have passed, simply because I’m writing this on Friday afternoon, since the markets are closed.

Usually I write the FIR on Saturday morning, but I figured that since I can’t be trading, I might as well use the time for something else. Hence, here I am.

Over the past week, I’ve probably talked to more than 2 dozen people that are trying to figure out what’s going on with the election situation. Did Biden really win? Did Trump really win? Was there a “rig” in the game? Can Trump pull this off? Will they allow all this fraud to stand? And on and on and on.

I’m not the best writer in the world. Anyone that’s been with me long enough knows that my punctuation stinks, my sentence structure isn’t proper, and thank God for spell check, or you’d think I was writing in an alien language.

But I’ve been told enough times over these 28 years, that I have a bit of a knack for writing like I talk, it’s like a conversation with you. And that’s all I want to do in these letters, is talk with you all. I’m not terribly interested in my proper use of the language. I’m usually just trying to get a point across.

There’s many writers that have the luxury of weeks and weeks to produce one single article. With that much time, and the advent of such things as technology that helps you write “more intense and esoteric” articles, I imagine that I could produce an article that is magazine worthy. But I don’t have that luxury. I put out two free letters a week, 15+ market updates per week, and a Sunday long term investment article each week. Time is not on my side. Nor is my focus on trying to convince you that I’m the next Shakespeare. I’m terribly not interested in being so.

What I am interested in, is deep conversation with you all. And at NO time in my last 28 years is a deep conversation warranted as it is now.

When I say something such as “they’ve been working on taking over the US for well over 100 years,” there’s some amount of people that just roll their eyes and think I’m nuts. Now only one of two things can possibly be true here. Either a cabal of globalist/communists have been trying to take control of the US for over 100 years, or I’m dead wrong. It cannot be both.

Yet those who simply roll their eyes and snicker, have absolutely not done the research into the topic. Because it is evident that if they did, they’d find I wasn’t nuts, I was correct.

History can be looked at as “his story.” History is written by the victors, and the stories are told as they wish them to be believed. For instance, most people believe that the US civil war was fought because of slavery. It wasn’t. Was it a part of the story? Absolutely. But the fact is the war between the north and south, was much more about taxation. Yet unless you dig into the true history of it, you’d never know that.

Let me ask a question. Read this first:
 In August of 1862, Lincoln wrote to the editor of the New York Tribune the following:

As to the policy I "seem to be pursuing" as you say, I have not meant to leave any one in doubt.

I would save the Union. I would save it the shortest way under the Constitution. The sooner the national authority can be restored; the nearer the Union will be "the Union as it was." If there be those who would not save the Union, unless they could at the same time save slavery, I do not agree with them. If there be those who would not save the Union unless they could at the same time destroy slavery, I do not agree with them.

My paramount object in this struggle is to save the Union, and is not either to save or to destroy slavery. If I could save the Union without freeing any slave I would do it, and if I could save it by freeing all the slaves I would do it; and if I could save it by freeing some and leaving others alone I would also do that

11.27.2020 - Insider Bookmark

11.27.2020

And a big Good morning to you all! I hope you had a tremendous day yesterday, and enjoyed it with your families and friends. 

We had a truly marvelous day. My wife was in the kitchen before I even wandered down the hall. She said that all she needed from me was to prepare the bird, since it is a chore.

Ours was 21 lbs, and my method of cooking it is to spatchcock the bird, and once the back bone is removed,and he's "flattened out" he gets seasoned, and put on a heavy wire rack on top of a large stainless pan.  It's not easy cutting the backbone out of a bird that big, so that's my job. 

11.25.2020 - Insider Bookmark

11.25.2020

Good morning all, welcome to the day before Thanksgiving!  Hopefully you all have your plans set, your food of choice in waiting, and are looking forward to a fine day of prayer, thanksgiving and reflection. I certainly am.

So, I was gone yesterday. I had no clue what happened from about 11:00  until about 6 pm. Then I saw the charts, the indexes and knew that it must have been quite the day. We popped over DOW 30K, the S&P clearly broke the 3600 level, and I could hear the party favors and kazoos playing in the background. 

11.24.2020 - Insider Bookmark

11.24.2020

Good morning all, and welcome to another interesting day. But, one that could already be over considering the futures. 

Okay, so yesterday the market was sort of "sluggish" for most of the session and then all of a sudden "boom" up we went. Why was that? Well the so called Biden platform had selected Janet Yellen as the Treasury Secretary. 

11.23.2020 - Insider Bookmark

11.23.2020

Morning all, welcome to Thanksgiving week. I hope you all had a great weekend!

We had a nice weekend, especially yesterday as we played with the tomato seedlings. I get a serene calm when I'm working with the garden, as the miracle of life unfolds. 

Happy Thanksgiving! Click this for the whole letter! Bookmark

Emotions

This is a tough letter to pen. You’ll understand why in a few moments.

Thanksgiving has always been my favorite holiday. Each year that rolls around, I explain why. The easy reason is that it’s a time for friends and families to get together. We certainly don’t do enough of that, and I’m guilty too.

But for me the real reason Thanksgiving is special, isn’t JUST because we get to see family we haven’t seen all year, or that there’s a cornucopia of tremendous food in the kitchen, or that we get “a day off.” No, for me the wonder of the day is that we have a Holiday for giving thanks. This is something, many of us are woefully inadequate at.

I am guilty as charged. I should be on my knees every single day saying thanks for all the good things that there’s been in my life. Yet life gets in the way. People get sick, we get too busy, we get caught up in the rat race. And then, instead of taking a breather and saying a prayer of thanks for all the good we have, we whine and complain. There’s “never enough” whether it’s time or money or love or health, or what have you.

So I am grateful that Mr. Abe Lincoln decided that we needed a National day of Thanksgiving. See, everyone learned the story in grade school that in 1621, the Plymouth colonists and Wampanoag Native Americans shared an autumn harvest feast that is acknowledged today as one of the first Thanksgiving celebrations in the colonies. To this day, kids dress up as Pilgrims and Indians and have school plays about it.

However, it wasn’t standardized across the colonies. In fact, while almost all communities had church services where a “thanksgiving remembered” feast would occur, it wasn’t until 1863, in the midst of the Civil War, that President Abraham Lincoln proclaimed a national Thanksgiving Day to be held each November.

Well I’m glad he did so. At least for one solitary day out of the whole year, we are reminded that there’s things to be Thankful for. So, it’s always been my favorite Holiday. We do get to overindulge in great spreads of food, we do get to see family and friends. We do get to take some time and look around and say our own version of “Thank you” for all we do have.

11.20.2020 - Insider Club Bookmark

11.20.2020

Morning all. 


Ever have one of those mornings, where you just can't get your act together? That's me this morning. Nothing's working right, I'm still tired despite a good sleep and I'm glad it's a Friday. 

So bear with me, it's just "one of those days"

11.19.2020 - Insider Club Bookmark

11.19.2020

Howdy all, it's another day in crazyland. 

Yesterday was all over the map, but ended decidedly in the red. This morning the futures have been in a narrow range with the DOW implied to open red at times  by just 15 and other times by -70. 

11.18.2020 - Today's Free Letter, click here Bookmark

Weeklies, Not for the Timid

 

For the second time I a row, I’m not going to talk about the election. I find that funny really, because for several weeks I talked about it and figured people were getting tired of my blather. So my last article was on Gap up and Gap down market opens, and the problems with them.

 

Wouldn’t you know, I got literally 30+ Emails from folks saying things along this line: “this is the most important election in our lifetime and you stop talking about it to say something about gap opens?????  You need to get back on track!”

 

So, I can’t win. If I talk about it, I catch hell, and if I don’t I catch hell. Go figure.

 

But no, I’m not talking election today. I probably will this weekend, but not today. Today I’m going to talk about “weekly” options. Are they good, bad or indifferent? Let’s chat.

 

Options are a wonderful tool. I use them very often, and they’re a big part of my toolbox. For most people, they simply use them in one of three ways. One way is to buy a call option on a stock you think will rise. Then there’s those that buy “put” options and they’re for stocks you think are going to fall. Finally there’s the covered call, where you buy a stock, and then sell the right for someone to buy it from you at a higher price.

 

The bulk,  and I mean 85% of all options trades are those 3 basics. But of course there’s many more ways to use options, such as “naked” selling, straddles, condors, butterflies, you name it. I personally only do calls, puts, covered calls and some naked puts.

11.18.2020 - Insider Club Bookmark

11.18.2020

Good morning all, and another big welcome to a new day. 

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