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3.16.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Good morning all, and yes, somehow it got to be a Friday again. Whew! that was quick. 

Yesterday we were talking about the DOW and how it needed to break out of its sideways cone, if it was going to go on to make the move to challenge the all time highs. Well it was on it's way to trying that, at one point up over 240 points. But it started leaking air as the day wore on, we coasted into a mixed close. The S&P fell by 2, the NASDAQ by 15 and the DOW pulled off a 115 point gain. 

3.15.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Good day all, welcome to Thursday. 

Down here in "Sunny" Florida, I thought we were going to challenge the record low temperature last night.  The record low for March 14th in Sarasota FL was 38. Well, last night we got down to 41. 

That's a heatwave in Maine, but it's an abnormality in Florida.  You'd have to live here to understand it, but today I'll see people bundled up like they're ready to dogsled to the North pole. I'm not kidding, cold snaps here bring out parkas suitable for climbing mt. Everest. 

3.14.2018 - Today's Free Investment Newsletter Bookmark

Good evening all, the latest edition of our free investment newsletter is now on the site. Today we're discussing the market volatility and if it is really all related to the tariffs, or Mr. Cohn leaving or Mr. Tillerson leaving or if it is a function of the market itself. Yes there's a world of news out there, too much of it really. There is no shortage of topics we could discuss. 

For instance the Central banks of the world now own 44% of all global GDP. That's pretty interesting. Or we could chat about the proposed 60 billion in tariffs against the Chinese. Again, there's a world of things to talk about. But in this issue, we started with the China tariff idea. Are we really threatening them?  Give it a read, and I'll share my opinion. 

3.14.2018 - Free Investment Newsletter Bookmark

Too Much?
When you write two letters per week for over 22 years, you certainly have covered a lot of ground. Which often begs the question, is there anything to write about? Hasn’t it all been covered? Ha! I would like nothing more than to tell you all that the world is so boring that I have nothing to discuss. What a blessing that would be.

3.14.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Good morning everyone, welcome to hump day. 

Yesterday really got goofy. It was moving along in mirrorlike fashion of Monday, after a big pop at the open and then rolling over to go red. At one point we were up 197 points on the DOW. 

3.13.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Good morning all, welcome to Tuesday. I send prayers to my friends up on the Northeast, who are battling against the 3rd Nor'Easter to smash them.  There's folks up there that haven't had power in a week and they're in the midst of getting another foot of snow, and bone chilling cold. This March has certainly come in like a lion, and frankly it's time for the lamb to appear. 

Good luck up there folks

3.12.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Hello everyone, welcome back from the weekend. As per the usual, I hope it was a great one for you. Down here in sunny Florida, the sun took a bit of a break and we had some cloudy, misty weather on Saturday. That lasted into Sunday morning, and then the "transition" happened. On Sunday, my mom ( who's 90 years old) asked me if I'd take  her to the super Walmart so she could get some things. When we went into the store, it was 67 degrees, cloudy and drizzling.

3.10.2018 Long Term Holds Bookmark

The March 10 edition of our free investment newsletter is up, and today we're talking about long term holds. After the bull market run up of the last 9 years, is it still okay to go long for the "long term" hold, or is it best to now play the short term game, since we're long overdue for a good shake out. 

Granted we had a 10% correction in February and that was the first one in over 2 years. But the question is, is that it? Can we merrily buy the market and expect another 4, 5  or 6 years of up? Or is the market signaling that it's getting tired and maybe it's time to trade sideways for a while?


We discuss all that  plus a mention of Trump meeting with Kim Jun Un, and of course the tariff situation. So please give it a read. 

3.10.2018 - Free Investment Newsletter Bookmark

Long Term Holds
Quite often we seem to get “accused” of playing only very short term trades, and ignoring the longer term holds. To a certain extent that’s true. Not because we have anything against long term holds, in fact we have several of them in place as we speak. No, the reason we haven’t been focusing on longer term holds lately, is precisely what we saw happen in February.
The “correction” that hit in February was the single fastest drop of 10% the market’s really ever seen, and it was obscenely overdue. If you look back at the history of the DOW, what you often see is that somewhere between 8,9, or 10 years into a rising market, it changes direction. Sometimes it’s a simple correction, and sometimes it’s a crash.

3.9.2018 - Insider Bookmark


Hello everyone, welcome to yet another Friday. 

Another wild day of big dips and big recoveries.  I had a hunch we'd see that, as this is what I said at the 1:15pm update yesterday:

So, we're supposed to get the Presidents declaration on tariff's this afternoon. I imagine that as they leak info, we'll see some more pops and drops. But I also think that the tariff situation will not be as ugly as many think and that they'll end up liking the final product

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