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3.10.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

3.10.2016

Good morning all, welcome to Thursday.

Well, he did it. Draghi brought out the bazooka.  In a policy move that only an academic from Wall Street can understand, if what you've been doing doesn't work, then do more of it.

3.8.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

3.8.2016

Good morning all, welcome to Tuesday and what ever fun that's going to bring.

Yesterday they pulled the magic levitation rabbit out of the hat. I had gone short Friday, thinking that they might come to their senses over the weekend and let this market pull back some, but no... they refused that and I covered my short for the slimmest of profits.

12.3.2015 - Insiders Club Bookmark

12.3.2015

G' morning all, are you ready for today?

So yesterday the market fell apart a bit. They're trying to blame it on the "event" out in California, but I'm none too sure that's got anything to do with it. It didn't help matters none, that's for sure, but Wall Street rarely pays attention to so called "shootings" .

11.19.2015 - Insiders Club Bookmark

11.19.2015

Good morning all, and a happy Thursday to you.

Yesterday was one of those inexplicable events that tends to not make a lot of sense. Some really smart people were asking the same question...why was the market soaring with all the so called terror activity going on and the Fed minutes talking even heavier concerning lifting rates in Dec?  You can come up with a bunch of theories but all in all, it did seem a bit outsized and strange. 

Insiders Club - 5.19.2015 Bookmark

5.19.2015
Good morning everyone, get ready for yet another day of shaking your head and saying "huh?"

Insiders Club - 1.29.2015 Bookmark

1.29.2015


Good morning all....

NOTE>>>> On Friday there will only be the morning updates, nothing in the afternoon. The wife and I are attending the funeral services of our neighbor Dave, who passed after a long battle of illness.

I laid out everything yesterday. The market is terribly weak and they're praying for a miracle. If you've noticed, the market is now lower than it was when Draghi announced his "all in" QE program. Evidently "good news" isn't having the carrying power it used to have.

Insiders Club - 1.20.2015 Bookmark

1.20.2015

Good morning everyone, welcome back from your 3 day weekend. It was glorious taking that extra day "off" from the markets, so that our burnt out brain cells could try and repair themselves. But here we are, and instantly the brain cell burning has resumed. Consider...

JNJ released earnings today. If all you had to go by was the "hype" from CNBC and analysts, you'd swear they were incredible earnings. But as usual, when we take a quick scan of the release, we see a lot of things that the cheerleaders must be blind to. First off, Revenues actually fell Year over year. Is that good? Nah, not really. But wait it gets better. They released "non GAAP" earnings of 1.27.   Guess what they'd have had to admit to if they were following GAAP rules?  89 cents. Yes folks, Pro-forma, non-GAAP added almost 40 cents a share to their report.

I can smell my smoldering brain cells now.....

Insiders club - 1.15.2015 Bookmark

1.15.2015

We might need to tighten the seatbelts today.....

Last night the futures continued higher and higher. It looked like the "double bottom" I mentioned in the Newsletter last night was holding and the traders were willing to put in a snapback form of a rally. But then something happened....

The Swiss National bank decided out of the clear blue that they would 1) cut interest rates to NEGATIVE 0.75% and 2) they would remove the ceiling caps on their currency in regard to its relation to the Euro. 

Insiders Club - 1.14.2015 Bookmark

1.14.2015

Hello everyone, welcome to Wednesday....

Yesterday afternoon I said  "But this is the age of insane volatility, and who knows what the last two hours will bring. I won't be surprised if we jump 150, or fall for another hundred" 

Well what we got was more wild swings. Consider the day as a whole. We were up 284 points in the morning. Then we fell all they way back, not ONLY to red... we plunged 140 points red, before they rushed us back up and we came within a dozen points of going green again.  We ended the day with the DOW off 27.

1.12.2015 Insane Chop Continues Bookmark

We've seen one of the volatile starts to a new year than I can remember. I've been doing this for about 20 years,and I'm hard pressed to think of a time when we've seen this much up and down chop this early in the year. Just a quick look at last week sums it up. We fall some, then "boom" up we go for over 300. But that sells off on Friday by 170 points.

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