5.29.2015

Good morning all, we've made it to Friday. 

5.18.2015

Good morning all....

One might have thought that after setting record after record on the S&P during 2014 that maybe, just maybe we'd see some better economic reports. But no, we come into the first day of trading and what do we see? The PMI missed estimates, the ISM missed estimates and the construction spending fell to 6 month lows.

Merry Christmas everyone!  There's no bogus political correctness here at IY. If you're a Christian you're celebrating Christmas, not "the Holidays". If you're of another faith, fine, I hope you are or have already celebrated your particular "special day".  All we preach about is people caring about each other, enjoying sharing their time with them, and taking the time to be thankful for all you have.  It's hard to argue against that.

12.23.2014

Oh look...the futures are rising!  Imagine that.

Yesterday, on an incredibly low volume session, the market pushed for new highs. They are so desperate to make it look like life is grand in the US that they've decided that we should probably end the year at all time highs.

Yesterday marked something like the 50th "new high" for the year.

12.22.2014

Good morning all, welcome to Christmas week!

For the most part the Christmas week generally brings us a low volume move slightly higher. Most of the upper level traders are already in the Hamptons celebrating the Holiday's, leaving the junior traders to "don't do anything stupid".

But because the volumes are so low, it is fairly easy for a single big order to order to move the underlying stock, so we oft times see outsized moves in single issues.

I love the idea of people making money from Wall Street. All the 401K's and IRA's that are increasing because of the rising market is indeed a good thing on the personal level. What disturbs me however is that most people really don't quite understand why this is happening.

12.5.2014

Good morning all, welcome to Friday and the big jobs report.

Yesterday the market stumbled itself into a slightly red close, not able to muster the firepower to continue moving higher. then overnight the Japanese yen fell again to  insanely low levels and that got global markets fired up, as they continue to use the Yen as a carry trade for of course...creating more debt instruments.

Thanksgiving is my favorite Holiday and luckily the market is usually quite generous during Thanksgiving week too. So our guess is that we'll continue the sideways and up move that we've seen lately. The worlds Central Bankers are "all in" on the idea, and unless we get a classic Black swan event, or the CB's decide to pull the rug, we "should" just continue to levitate this week. We're "leaning long and keeping our finger near the sell button"

11.24.2014

Good morning all, welcome to Thanksgiving week. As you might guess, the market will be open Wednesday, but by 11 am, the day will effectively be "over". Then we're closed Thursday and we're only open for half a day on Friday.

Historically the market does well this week and this time should be no different. If they weren't about to roll the market over with all the chances it had last week, they probably won't this week either. So, we should expect a slow grind higher.