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Insiders Club- 12.4.2014 Bookmark

12.4.2014

Morning all....

Well at 8 am the first thing we learned is that the ECB has left rates "unchanged". Well there's a surprise eh?  They certainly couldn't raise them, and since they're basically at 0 now, cutting seems pretty desperate.  So, shortly after the ECB announcement, the US futures were up about 15 points on the DOW, 2 on the S&P. Now of course all eyes will be on Mario Draghi, as they expect him to plead the case for massive QE, something he's been jawboning about for two years.

Insiders Club - 12.3.2014 Bookmark

12.3.2014

Hello Everyone....

At 8 am the futures are statistically "flat" with the DOW down 2.

Yesterday we gained 102 points to a new all time high. Did I expect that? Nope. While I did figure they'd try and get us green after Monday's dip, I had no feeling that they'd get us "that green".

Insiders Club - 11.28.2014 Bookmark

11.28.2014


Good morning all, welcome back from your Thanksgiving feast. I had what I consider the perfect day, it was low key, filled with family and friends and we did a "whole lot of nothing" except chatting, eating and drinking. I wish it was more like the old pilgrim "days of thanks" because their's wasn't just one day, it was THREE!

But it's over now and we're back in the saddle. Remember folks the market is only open until 1 pm Eastern today. I'll probably be shut down an hour ahead of that.

Insiders Club - 11.20.2014 Bookmark

11.20.2014

Morning all, welcome to a new day.

The world is certainly a funny place right now. Overnight we saw PMI's come in below estimates from Europe to China, to Japan. That along with the fact that the Fed's minutes didn't contain any hints of keeping rates at zero for ever, or even the slightest mention of board members considering QE...has the futures a bit underwater. At 8 am we have the DOW off 60 and the S&P off 8.

Insiders Club - 11.19.2014 Bookmark

11.19.2014

Hello folks, lets see if any of these Emails get to you today. Back on Monday at about 9 am, our Email service "Constant Contact" pretty much blew up. It was a hard crash where none of their services worked. Even yesterday things were not looking good, as Emails were being sent but they were sporadic and very late.  Today they say they're back to running normally, but time will tell.

Insiders Club - 11.14.2014 Bookmark

11.14.2014

Good morning all, we've made it to Friday.

There will be NO afternoon update today. I'm traveling to Arizona for the Financial Fest event being held in Scottsdale tomorrow.  In fact, I hope that any of you who live in the area stop by and introduce yourself. I'd really enjoy meeting you. 

Okay, on Sunday we said in the newsletter that the market was overbought and probably setting up for either a pause or a pullback. So far the week has been more of a pause than anything else.  Monday was up, Tuesday and Wednesday were "dead flat" and yesterday they rallied the troops in the afternoon to reverse a red start.

11.5.2014 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

The Big Sweep

I don’t make a habit of talking politics too much, because frankly I don’t generally like politicians. But there are certain times when you have no choice because the fact is, we get our policies from these lunatics and those policies affect us.

Everyone knows by now that the Republicans swept up Tuesday, and now control both houses of Congress. The bigger question is “why” did they win so big, and of course…does anything change? So first let’s look at the why of things. This is going to wander down some paths you might not have thought of, but I think you’ll find interesting.

10.15.2014 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Fake Facts You Believe

One of the problems you face when you write a newsletter that goes out to thousands of folks, is that often the things you say…are diametrically opposed to what people have taken as fact for years.  Then they have to try and figure out if I’m simply nuts, or maybe realize that they’ve been shoveled a bucket of horse hockey all those years.  It causes stress I’m sure.

For instance we all know that Eve ate an apple in the Garden of Eden right? Well not so fast. She ate from the fruit of the tree of knowledge of good and evil. Not once is it mentioned in the Bible that it was an apple. It probably wasn’t. Yet it’s taken as a generalized fact that she ate an apple.

10.12.2014 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Earnings Upon Us…

Four times a year, most companies produce their economic report for the previous quarter of business. This isn’t something new, they’ve been doing it since the idea of a structured company first began. But like most things, they’ve “morphed” into something much different than the standards set so many years ago. I’m not shy in saying that a very competent accountant overseeing companies in 1920 would have absolutely no clue how to figure out what the hell any modern company was even talking about.

So when these companies start releasing their earnings in bulk next week, just what are we actually hearing them tell us? Sometimes it isn’t as easy as just saying “oh that’s their earnings based on sales versus expenses”.  Thus I think a bit of history lesson needs to be taught here….

Insiders Club - 9.30.2014 Bookmark

9.30.2014

Good morning all...

Well yesterday, after a 175 point plunge they fought the DOW back to being down just 41 for the close. The S&P however was the one that I found a bit too funny. Early in the session the S&P fell like a rock, and I said a couple times in updates that I'd figure they'd get the index back over 1976 because they wouldn't want to go into the close with the S&P under its 50 day moving average. Sure enough they poured on the coals and when the final bell rang, guess where it was? You got it... 1977.

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