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1.6.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

1.6.2015

Good morning all, welcome to.....I'm not sure what.

I woke up, flipped on the monitors and saw the DOW futures down 265 points. That's the type of drop that has some kind of news behind it. Okay, so what was the news? Actually there were several things going on.

The one getting the headlines is that North Korea "might" have set off a hydrogen bomb. NK has announced they have the H bomb and last night at a test facility they registered a 5.3 rumbling on the Richter scale.  That is indeed indicative of an H bomb, not your run of the mill "atomic" bomb. So there's a lot of nervousness that NK has now attained the ability to put massively destructive bombs on the head of a missile.

12.21.2015 - Insiders Club Bookmark

12.21.2015

Good morning all, welcome to CHRISTMAS week.  Yes it is indeed Christmas week. Not "the winter Holidays"  The political correctness crowd can yell and stomp all they want, but people have been celebrating Christmas for generations. Not the winter holidays. Not "the season".   Get over it.

I hope you all had a good weekend? We sure did. Our closes friends were down from NJ all last week and we wrapped up with them this weekend by taking them to a very fun place on the Florida coast that we enjoy a lot. They had a magnificent time, and can't stop talking about it. So we succeeded in showing them a good time. It is very sad for us that they fly home as I'm typing this.  Truly good friends are a very rare commodity. Cherish them.

Financial Intelligence Report - 11.4.2015 Bookmark


Migrants, Snowden, and Sides

One of the themes I’ve been pounding for a couple years now is that the world is choosing sides. On one side is the China/Russia connection and on the other side is the US/UK connection. As nations around the world have tired of US policy, they see something of a saving grace in unconventional ways.

If you look at the “shift” in attitudes over the past 4 years you see something remarkable happening. When the US set up the coup in the Ukraine, and then blamed it on the Russians, they followed through with dozens of financial sanctions against Russia. The Europeans went along with the sanctions, despite it being financial suicide for them. Consider Germany; they had millions in trade deals with Russia that had to be put on hold. They lost multiple millions in revenues. Same with Norway, France, etc.

10.25.2015 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

That’s It?

The market is doing exactly what markets are supposed to do…make people panic, then wish they didn’t panic and get back in…and then take their money again.  Right now as I’m typing this the market has put on a tremendous show, with the S&P gaining almost 200 points in rapid fashion. We came through September with no meteors, asteroids, Shemitah explosions, aliens, nuclear war, etc… AND the market is roaring higher.

Insiders Club - 3.17.2015 Bookmark

3.17.2015

Happy St. Patrick’s Day folks.

Down here in Florida we've got rivers tinted green and the beach if full of people wearing green hats, green beads and even green bikini's. I have a hunch there's going to be a lot of "lost time" at employers today!

Yesterday was a lot like last Thursday. For no really good reason the market put in a monster up day,  adding 228 points to the bullish pot. That put the S&P well up above the 2064 level that has caused issues in the past, and landed us back in that "no mans land" between support below and resistances above.

Insiders Club - 3.6.2015 Bookmark

3.6.2015

 

What's wrong with this picture?


Today is jobs day, and heading into the delayed release the CNBC crew had the normal criminals on to discuss it all. Well, Zandi the bull of all bulls figured it could come in under 200K because of weather and oil jobs fading. Goolsby said 210. Rick Santelli said under 180

What did the Government give us?

295K and unemployment down to 5.5%

Do you believe any of that? Me neither.

2.4.2015 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Oil and the Big Save

Please don’t take this the wrong way folks, but it has to be said. On Sunday I laid out the numbers that we had to hold, or we very well could have been facing a serious market decline. I titled the letter “Crash alert – High”  I  was NOT predicting a crash in that letter. I was saying that we had very important technical levels that had to hold or we could then see a much deeper correction.  A lot of folks evidently didn’t pay attention to that part. All they saw was “crash” not the levels that needed to break to create one.

On Monday the market fell right down to those levels. Then it chopped around for hours as the “fight was on” between shorts and longs. We had fallen 120, then bounced for 100 then went red again by 40.  The day was very “up in the air” as to where it was going to go. But very late in the session, the FT put out a headline that the Greeks had changed their tune and weren’t lobbying for total debt relief, and willing to work out a repayment schedule. That was the “hot button” the market needed to blast higher off those numbers.

Insiders Club - 12.11.2014 Bookmark

12.11.2014

Okay, lets see if I can get the day correct this time.... Hi folks, welcome to Thursday!
Yup, I think I got it.

If you have even a remote interest in the markets, you know by now that yesterday it put in a pretty ugly session. You'd know that because if you listen to the media, they portrayed the plunge as if it was the great depression of the 30's.  That's how fixated on an ever rising market that people have become. A 268 point dip in a 17K market causes panic now adays.

Insiders Club - 12.10.2014 Bookmark

12.10.2014

Hello Everyone, welcome to Tuesday....

Yesterday ended up being an exercise is bizarre. After an early morning 225 point plunge, the bankers went to work and slowly brought the market all the way back. the S&P almost ended green and the DOW was off just about 50.  Was there really any "good" reason for the big reversal higher? Nope, not a one. Just that Central bank policy right now is to keep asset prices rising no matter what.

Insiders Club - 12.9.2014 Bookmark

12.9.2014

Good morning all, get your seatbelts tightened.

The futures at 8 am are in the red. The DOW off 125.

Yesterday the market put in a 100+ point fall. That was the biggest slip in months, as the Central bank fueled rally simply pushed stocks higher almost every day. While 100 points in an 18K market is "nothing", the things that are going on in the world are indeed "something".

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