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Insiders Club - 1.9.2015 Bookmark


Good morning everyone, welcome to Friday and the jobs report.

Yesterday was a case study in absurd. Ignoring every instance of the fundamentals of investing, the market gained over 300 points in one session, simply because Fed head Evans suggested to reporters that hiking rates would be "catastrophic". That got the market all excited that they weren't going to have to worry about rising rates in 2015.

Insiders Club - 1.7.2015 Bookmark


Good morning folks.

I've been both praised and criticized over the years for chatting with our members as "friends" instead of strictly a business relationship. If you are one of those that doesn't like a little personal injection into the conversations, I'm sorry, but it won't stop. Because we've had a habit of sharing personal issues, and talking like friends, I've met and become friendly with dozens of folks that I'd never have had the pleasure to know

12.15.2014 Empire Report Crashes! Bookmark

In the macro, which simply means the big picture, nothing could possibly be worse. I really mean that folks. Bonds are up a huge 14 points since July 2014. Bonds will soon be higher than they have been in decades. U.S. Bonds are telling us that the economy is in serious trouble, in Depression era territory. The jobs report everyone crowed about, was so bolstered by seasonal adjustments that it bears no resemblance to reality. The constant drumbeat of the US/NATO for some form of war with Russia continues unabated. The baltic dry index has fallen 45% in a month. Banks have lobbied the G-20 to basically secure public bail-ins when their risky trades blow up. Student loan debt is well over a trillion dollars, wages are flat for the last 15 years, and Obama-care has created the 30 hour full time job

12.5.2014 321K Jobs?!!! Bookmark

It is indeed Friday, and I don't want to be the bearer of bad news, so I'll keep this sort of tame. the Government says we created 321K jobs in November, a number not seen in years. Okay fine, I'd love to believe that. But I have issues with it. Why did the household survey only show an increase of 4K Jobs? Why was there an increase of 77K part time jobs, while a decrease of 150K full time jobs? Why was the labor force participation rate even lower?

Insiders Club - 12.5.2014 Bookmark


Good morning all, welcome to Friday and the big jobs report.

Yesterday the market stumbled itself into a slightly red close, not able to muster the firepower to continue moving higher. then overnight the Japanese yen fell again to  insanely low levels and that got global markets fired up, as they continue to use the Yen as a carry trade for of course...creating more debt instruments.

11.7.2014 Jobs Report Illusions Bookmark

I would love to see a good solid jobs report where it truly showed strength and wage growth. But unfortunately we don't ever seem to get those kind. Take today's report for example. The headline number of +  214K isn't bad. On the surface, you could say to yourself "hey, there's nothing wrong with that".  But like most things in life, the Devil is in the details.

Insiders Club - 11.7.2014 Bookmark


Good morning all, we've made it to Friday, and certainly not a day too soon. But we have so much to chat about that it feels like a Wednesday.

First off, yesterday....

Yes the DOW and the S&P pushed higher and it looked impressive. They moved higher on the day than I thought they would, no doubt. But the issue I have with it is that we're getting narrower and narrower. A lower volume day with tight breadth of just above even is not conducive to a breakout. So it looked decidedly better than the internals suggest.

Financial Intelligence Report 10.26.2014 Bookmark

It was really a wonderful piece of timing for me; that my friend and partner Phil Grande from philsgang.com decided to send me an article he’d like to express.  My wife and I were going to be pretty tied up this weekend with some travel, so having an interesting article to publish was mighty handy. So with no further ado, here’s Phil with today’s commentary….


With just 13 days left from this writing before the senate race; who would ever think that under the leadership of the democrats and President Obama (our “liar “N” chief) who’s cornerstone of his administration is lying , deception and deceit  (which is exemplified by his recent statement  “by almost every measure we are better off than the day he took office”) while his record shows more lies and deceit and quite the opposite facts:

EBOLA, What's Wrong With This Picture? Bookmark

What’s Wrong With This Ebola Picture?

Everything. And that will be the topic of today’s article.

Pull up a chair and lets chat folks. I’ve been meaning to chat about this for a week now, but of course life gets in the way. We have so many issues to talk about that one has to pick and chose topics carefully, so that it is significant to the most amount of people at the time. Well, this Ebola thing is pretty significant.

Now before I go off on my rant, I think I’d better check my sanity with a dipstick, just to make sure I haven’t become infested with the conspiracy virus.  Okay, that looks good, I don’t think I’ve become a brainwashed conspiracy nut. Yet what I’m going to talk about will plant me firmly in that camp for a lot of you.  All I ask is that you keep an open mind, because from where I sit, something stinks like 10 day fish.

10.3.2014 JOBS DAY! Bookmark

We all know that the mid term elections are coming at us pretty quickly and it would make a lot of sense that they'd paint the tape ahead of those elections, so that the incumbents look like they're doing their jobs. So, we just got the jobs report, it came in at 248K. Not only that, the unemployment rate fell to 5.9%. That's the lowest since 2008. Right. Sure.  Wait it gets better. Remember last month where they were looking for 250K, but only got 148K?  Well that was revised up to 180K

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