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1.1.2017 - Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Fearful Predictions 2017

 
Every year I make a fool of myself, by trying to predict what the upcoming year will bring.  But in my defense, I will say that after doing this for over 20 years, I have had quite a few years where things worked out almost exactly as I thought. This year will not be one of them. Why? Too many variables.

11.30.2016 Bookmark

11.30.2016

Good morning all, we've made it to hump day. 

If you've flipped on your monitors or TV's you see the futures are up fairly strongly this morning. After everyone had lost hope about a deal in oil land, it appears that the Saudi's have flinched to some extent and a small production cut is now being acknowledged.  That was enough to jam oil up over 3 bucks, and that of course took stocks with it. 

11.28.2016 Bookmark

11.28.2016

Hello everyone, welcome back from what I hope was a long and wonderful weekend. After enjoying the Thanksgiving Holiday, the wife and I did some fun "poking around" the west coast of Florida, taking in the scenery. Florida is indeed a beautiful state if you like the water. There's so many miles of mangroves and islands, and rivers and bays. It's really gorgeous. Oh and speaking of gorgeous, right now we are experiencing exactly why so many people come here for the winter. Yesterday we did our bike ride and it was bright sunny, not a cloud in the sky, 79ish... just perfect.  Cooler nights and perfect days is what put the west coast of Florida on the map from Nov - March

11.27.2016 - Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Hillary Wins???
 
NOTE>> I wrote the following Commentary on Friday morning, knowing I was going to be traveling this weekend.  Since then things have already moved forward, Stein did go ahead and raise the money to recount Wisconsin and it’s looking like they will push for PA and MI too.
 
When Trump won the election, my very first statement was “this isn’t over”.  For those of you with portfolio’s, you might want to pay attention to this article. Why? Because as I said...the globalist plans that were in place on Monday November 7th, didn’t go away Tuesday Nov. 8th.

11.4.2016 Bookmark

11.4.2016

Good morning all, welcome to Friday. 

First off lets talk about yesterday. Yesterday was yet another red day, making it 8 in a row. The last time the S&P was red 8 days in a row was 2008. Yet interestingly, it hasn't been some form of a crash, it has been kibbles and bits. A little at a time.  

Did I think we'd be red yesterday? Heck no. After 7 down in a row, I figured that they'd green up, if for no other reason than "nothing goes up or down forever".  Well I guess yesterday wasn't forever yet. 

9.29.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

9.29.2016

Hello everyone, welcome to a new day. Let's hope we through it without the hysterics of yesterday. That's going to be hard however, as today we have FIVE Fed heads spewing garbage again. I can't imagine why they want to continue on the speech trail when every time they say something it contradicts something that someone else is saying.

8.24.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

8.24.2016

Hello folks, it's Wednesday. Hump day. Let's see how we get over it....

They tried for the breakout yesterday. After a blazing 100 point gain at the open which pushed the S&P to new all time high territory, the power of the "box" crept in and the rally faded. To make a clean break, the S&P needed to put in a close over 2190.  It couldn't do it.

6.8.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

6.8.2016

Morning all....

Running a bit late this morning, as it appears like both windows and my online security decided to do a bunch of updates this morning. Swell. 

Anyway,

5.24.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

5.24.2016

Hello everyone....

Yesterday was a real snoozer.  Volume was abysmal, very similar to a holiday session. 

Overnight the dollar rose, which pulled oil down a bit. But it isn't bothering anyone as it did rebound and the futures this morning are up quite smartly

5.11.20165 - Ponder This Bookmark

Last night the API put out a report saying that there was a 3.4 million barrel build up of crude oil. Well the market has been trading a lot lately in tandem with the direction of crude. So this morning the DOW and S&P was pretty red. But then something interesting happened. Just as we were picking up steam to the downside, the DOE oil inventory number hit and they said that we had a 3.6 million barrel DRAW DOWN.  So instantly oil perked up and the DOW/S&P started sprinting higher.

Well obviously one of them has to be wrong. But which one? Consider that the API numbers are privately generated while the DOE numbers come straight from Uncle Sam and you can pretty much bet, Uncle's numbers were made up for the sole reason of pushing stocks higher.  It worked for a while. The S&P was down 10 points before the DOE report and was down just 1 shortly after. But it couldn't hold and we faded lower. This is what passes for a "free" market in 2016. 

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