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1.28.2015 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Technology Take Over…


Sometimes it is hard for me to keep my head buried in the place it is supposed to be, that being this thing we call economics and the financial structure. Why? Because each moment that passes is a new milestone for us. In other words, today we know more than we did yesterday. Tomorrow we will know more than we did today. Each day that goes on brings us new intelligence, new questions, new experiences. Sometimes the changes that are brought by these new events leads us to tremendous investing opportunities.  Who wouldn't have wanted to be on the ground floor when Polaroid camera debuted its new technology? Who wouldn't have wanted to be an "Angel" investor in Johnson and Johnson back in 1885 when they were creating the first "ready to use" bandages? Who wouldn't have wanted to be the first investors in this new upstart called "MicroSoft" so many years ago?  

Insiders Club - 1.13.2015 Bookmark

1.13.2015

Morning folks.... ready for another ride on the roller coaster? Hold onto your hat.

Yesterday, the futures were strong, but continued to fade as we got closer to the open. Then we put in a long grinding session, ultimately losing about 100 DOW points on the day.

Early this morning the futures were pretty soggy, but then we got some economic data out of China that the algo-bots thought was wonderful, and Europe perked up and our futures went "big green". The question is, will they hold this time, or will the market run out of steam again?

12.23.2014 DOW 18K! Bookmark

Today  the DOW surpassed 18,000 for the first time ever. That's pretty heady stuff considering we were almost in danger of losing DOW 17K just a week ago. They were so excited by it, that Art Cashin actually wore a DOW 18K hat on CNBC. How sad.

Insiders Club - 12.22.2014 Bookmark

12.22.2014

Good morning all, welcome to Christmas week!

For the most part the Christmas week generally brings us a low volume move slightly higher. Most of the upper level traders are already in the Hamptons celebrating the Holiday's, leaving the junior traders to "don't do anything stupid".

But because the volumes are so low, it is fairly easy for a single big order to order to move the underlying stock, so we oft times see outsized moves in single issues.

Insiders Club 12.19.2014 Bookmark

12.19.2014

Good morning all, welcome to Friday, and another day closer to Christmas....

Before we get started I want to relate a fun  personal note here for a second. Yesterday I got a phone call from a man I know whom I've become "phone buddies" with over the last 5 or 6 years. He's a radio host up on the Connecticut area, and he has me on about once every two months or so for our view of things. A truly good host, he encourages some great discussion. Yesterday when the phone rang and I saw the number, I said to myself...Oh, he's probably got an interview he'd like me to do"....

Insiders Club - 12.17.2014 Bookmark

12.17.2014

A day of records.

Yesterday brought the level of absurd to a whole new place.  After the 260 point mindless algo-bot driven romp in the morning, we then saw a reversal that not only took all that away, but we fell another 100+ points on top of it. Inside the day, the DOW moved over 800 points if you add up all the pops and drops. But there were other records. The morning gain was the most amount of points in the least amount of time seen all year. The amount of quotes posted on the S&P Emini futures board were higher than ever seen before.

Insiders Club - 12.15.2014 Bookmark

12.15.2014

Good morning all, welcome to a new week....

Everyone knows about last week. It was the worst performance of the S&P in over two years. We saw something like 700 points flee the DOW. It was indeed the very sell off that we expected the week before, it was simply postponed a week.

There's a lot of reasons why we got the sell off. Profit taking, locking in yearly performance, tax selling, crashing oil prices and a host of other reasons. The only important question is this... is the selling over? I don't truly know that answer, but I can give my guess/opinion about it.

Insiders Club - 12.8.2014 Bookmark

12.8.2014

Good morning all, welcome back from the weekend. I had spent the last week up in NJ, seeing some friends, and shutting down our little vacation get-away in the woods. It was a fun week, but the weather certainly didn't cooperate for us as It rained almost every day I was there. After living in FL for the last 8 years, it doesn't take many 30 degree rainy days to chill me right to the bone! I'm glad I'm home!

Insiders Club- 12.4.2014 Bookmark

12.4.2014

Morning all....

Well at 8 am the first thing we learned is that the ECB has left rates "unchanged". Well there's a surprise eh?  They certainly couldn't raise them, and since they're basically at 0 now, cutting seems pretty desperate.  So, shortly after the ECB announcement, the US futures were up about 15 points on the DOW, 2 on the S&P. Now of course all eyes will be on Mario Draghi, as they expect him to plead the case for massive QE, something he's been jawboning about for two years.

Insiders Club - 12.3.2014 Bookmark

12.3.2014

Hello Everyone....

At 8 am the futures are statistically "flat" with the DOW down 2.

Yesterday we gained 102 points to a new all time high. Did I expect that? Nope. While I did figure they'd try and get us green after Monday's dip, I had no feeling that they'd get us "that green".

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