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1.30.2015 She Said, He Said Bookmark

Yesterday (Thursday) the market gained over 220 points...mainly because Janet Yellen mentioned at a Democratic rally that rate hikes were not going to be "immediate", which got everyone thinking that maybe the Fed was going to delay hiking any interest rates this year. So they pushed the market up on that hope.  ( Isn't hope a wonderful reason for a market to rally? sheesh)

Insiders Club - 1.30.2015 Bookmark


Good morning all, we've made it to Friday.

NOTE>> As I mentioned yesterday, I have to shut down around 11 this morning, to get ready for a military service at the National Cemetery this afternoon. Our neighbor and friend Dave struggled with illness for several years before succumbing to the damage, and his service is today. So, there's no "me" later in the session as the wife and I will be leaving around noon.

Okay... yesterday the market put in a big bounce off the January 16th lows. As the day wore on, the more points they gained. Part of the reason for their enthusiasm was that Fed Chairman Yellen, mentioned at a Democratic rally/meeting that interest rate hikes would not be "immediate". That got everyone excited that maybe they were going to put hikes on hold for 2015. 

Insiders Club - 1.29.2015 Bookmark


Good morning all....

NOTE>>>> On Friday there will only be the morning updates, nothing in the afternoon. The wife and I are attending the funeral services of our neighbor Dave, who passed after a long battle of illness.

I laid out everything yesterday. The market is terribly weak and they're praying for a miracle. If you've noticed, the market is now lower than it was when Draghi announced his "all in" QE program. Evidently "good news" isn't having the carrying power it used to have.

1.28.2015 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Technology Take Over…

Sometimes it is hard for me to keep my head buried in the place it is supposed to be, that being this thing we call economics and the financial structure. Why? Because each moment that passes is a new milestone for us. In other words, today we know more than we did yesterday. Tomorrow we will know more than we did today. Each day that goes on brings us new intelligence, new questions, new experiences. Sometimes the changes that are brought by these new events leads us to tremendous investing opportunities.  Who wouldn't have wanted to be on the ground floor when Polaroid camera debuted its new technology? Who wouldn't have wanted to be an "Angel" investor in Johnson and Johnson back in 1885 when they were creating the first "ready to use" bandages? Who wouldn't have wanted to be the first investors in this new upstart called "MicroSoft" so many years ago?  

1.28.2015 Fed Confusions Bookmark

Everyone waited with the proverbial "baited breath" to see what the Fed's were going to say about monetary policy. But what they said, threw the algo-bots for a bit of a loop. They wanted pure hints that the Fed's were not going to hike rates this year, but instead they got a statement suggesting that the economy is really strong, jobs are really strong and while they can be patient about rates, they removed the "considerable time" language from the statement.

Insiders Club - 1.28.2015 Bookmark


Good morning everyone, welcome to Wednesday, and I hope it's a good one for you.

The pace of the insanity that is careening around the world lately is certainly spectacular. One of the more fun aspects of what I do for a living is waking up, flipping on the monitors and looking around for the latest example of lunacy. It doesn't take long to find.

Today we learn that in NY, a mom; unemployed and on Food stamps, with no appreciable income, wanted to buy her daughter a car to get to work. They went to a BMW dealer, and told the people that she's got no job, no income. They assured her that indeed she qualifies for the car. She got it.

1.27.2015 Look Out Belowwwww! Bookmark

So after hearing how wonderful our economy is - according to Obama, today we see the DOW start the day down 300 points. Why? Well the big multinational corporations that rule the economy are having a hard time selling their "stuff'.  UTX missed, Micro-Soft missed, Proctor missed, CAT missed by a mile and reduced their outlook by lightyears. Then we got durable goods which they thought might come in with a rise of 0.3%, but unfortunately came in DOWN 3.2%.  Shall I go on?

Insiders Club - 1.27.2015 Bookmark


I mentioned to you all yesterday that the "over the top" hype about the NY "Blizzard of the Century" was simply too much to bear. The wife and I were in a hotel Sunday morning and we flipped on the Weather Channel for a while. I couldn't believe the panic they were trying to generate. One of their "weather experts" had actually said a few times that you should run out and buy a generator, buy a snowblower, you're going to need them.

Like folks have 4 or 5 grand laying around to run out and buy a generator and snow-blower for a stupid one time storm.

So, the big event came and what happened? Nothing. The Biggest storm of the Century was the biggest weather forecast bust in history. NY got about 5 - 6 inches. NJ, where folks were shutting down in anticipation of the "worst", got 2 - 3.

There are a few areas way out on long Island that did get up to about 15 inches, and yes Boston into New Hampshire is still getting snow, but...lets face it, the level of panic they inflicted on people was simply ridiculous.  

 Don't you find it funny that they can tell us that man made global warming is going to wipe us out in 40 years, but they can't forecast a storm 24 hours ahead properly? Go figure eh?

1.26.2015 Greek Revolt Bookmark

The Greek people have voted and the message is clear...We're tired of austerity". So they've voted in a true marxist, a true socialist who vows to end all this austerity business and work with the banking industry to fix their debt situation. This is not going to work, but that's not the point.

Insiders Club - 1.26.2015 Bookmark


Is a blizzard going to be "the event?"  Don't laugh, last year they blamed all the ills of our economy on the "polar vortex" of cold air that came down from Canada.  Could we be looking at a similar situation?

I'm on record saying that the Fed's are going to continue to preach that everything is just fine in the US, no matter how ugly things truly are...UNTIL they get an event they can blame the soggy economy on.

For three days I've been hearing so much hype about the "blizzard" that's coming to the northeast that it is really quite incredible. I was watching the Weather Channel yesterday and just could not believe the fear hype they're injecting into folks. They were telling people point blank that they should run out and get a generator. Run out and buy a snowblower.  Go to the store and stock up for at least a week of food. Shelter in place, do NOT go out. Don't try and go to work. Don't plan on any travel for at least 4 days.....

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