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3.19.2020 - Insider Bookmark

3.19.2020

Hello all. Strap in again. 

So this morning we got a look at two big economic indicators. The initial jobless claims came out and they rose by 70K to 281K.  You can expect those numbers to rise exponentially.

3.17.2020 - Insider Bookmark

3.17.2020

Mornin' all. 

3000 points. In one day. 

That's a crash. That's a panic. That's margin calls. That's throwing the baby out with the bath water. 

2.28.2020 - Insider Bookmark

2.28.2020

NOTE!!!

I'm going to be gone for a few days next week. When my wife's mom passed away, her dad put away some of her mom's sentimental items. So there's a couple large boxes, and what have you at his house that "belong" to my wife. Well, he's in his 80's and has sold his home, to move into something smaller. He can't manage that giant 4 Bedroom house on an acre of landscaped lawn any more.

2.18.2020 - Insider Bookmark

2.18.2020

Look at those futures. Why?  Because they're ONLY down 136 at 8:45

Early last evening, this was the headline that caused the futures to puke for 300:

Apple warns on coronavirus - it won't meet revenue guidance because of constrained iPhone supply and suppressed demand in China

2.11.2020 - Insider Bookmark

2.11.2020

Good morning all, welcome to a new day.

The futures are green again. The only explanation for this incredible push for higher and higher, in my estimation, is "headroom" over the corona virus

2.10.2010 - Insider Bookmark

2.10.2020

Good morning all, and a big welcome back from your weekend!  I hope it was a smashing success.

2.6.2020 - Insider Bookmark

2.6.2020


Good morning all, welcome to Thursday. 

Guess where the futures are? If you said green, you win this morning's cigar. At 8:15 they are implying a DOW open of about 100 points. That's off the +126 I saw earlier. 

2.5.2020 - Market Madness! Bookmark

In three days the stock market has put on almost 1000 points. Why did it do that? Because in the early morning hours, a blurb was caught by our Algo's here in the states. This was what crossed the wires at 3 am:

CHINESE TV: RESEARCH TEAM AT ZHEJIANG UNIVERSITY HAS FOUND AN EFFECTIVE DRUG TO TREAT PEOPLE WITH THE NEW CORONA VIRUS

That's all the algo's needed to turn the futures from being red by 100, to green by 240. Then after opening big, the market simply powered itself higher, to close today + 483 points. Amazing isn't it? It is, especially since there is no treatment according to the World Health Org.  But the market doesn't care about the facts, it just needs headlines it can use to move higher!

 

By the way, in the general commentary area of the letter, we talk about the virus in China and just how bad the real numbers might be. The Taiwan Times put up an article suggesting that there could be 24K dead, not the 400 we're hearing about. So, give  today's letter a read, it's a good one. 

12.13.2019 - Insider Bookmark

12.13.2019

Deal Or No deal?  Who knows? 

Hi all, first off I want to just say that yesterday was certainly the best day my wife has had in two months. Our friends from NJ came down, and have rented the coziest little beach front efficiency I've ever seen. So, we met them there, and chatted for an hour, then went for a truly wonderful lunch. Then it was back to their place, where Jimmy and I took the rods out on the beach and spent a couple hours catching ladyfish and Spanish mackerel, while the gals stayed on the deck chatting. I haven't seen her that chatty and smiling since before chemo.

11.1.2019 - Insider Bookmark

11.1.2019

Good morning all, how was your Halloween evening? In our little corner of the world, we only had two little kids. The neighborhood has evolved and all the little ones that used to knock on our door are now married with babies of their own. Time does indeed fly. 

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