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2.16.2017 Bookmark

2.16.2017

Good morning everyone, welcome to a new day. 

A test?  Is today going to be a test of the resiliency of the market? I ask that because an article in Zero Hedge last night suggested that the bulk of this volumeless rip higher could be from a giant fund that was "forced" to cover all their shorts. While the mechanics of it do make sense, if it is proven to be true, and the reason that the volumes have been so low is because it's really only a few people and this giant fund "covering shorts".... we could roll over pretty hard. 

2.10.2017 Bookmark

2.10.2017

Hello everyone, we've made it to Friday.  What a week it's been, eh?  Not a day goes by where there's not some drama concerning Donald Trump or the protestors, or what have you.  Then we had a Fed head saying that by reducing the balance sheet they might be able to do QE in the future. Then we had another suggest that a rate hike in March should not be off the table. Not to mention the uproar about Conway suggesting people buy Ivanka's products. Sheesh!

12.28.2016 - Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

Trying To Remain Festive
 
Hi folks. Yes it’s that odd week; you know the one. The week between the solemn observation of Christ’s birth, and the wild “go for broke” New Year’s eve.  In just 7 days the mood changes from serene and giving, to blatant excess.  I think it would be better to separate the two by 6 months, but I digress.....
 
It’s always an interesting week for me. Generally it is a shortened week as often the market is closed for a day, and even on the days that it’s open the volumes are horrid. Yet it is the week where more times than not the market makes gains. It is referred to as the “Santa Rally.”  Now it is too early to know if this week and the first week of January are really going to give us this so called rally, but my guess is that DOW 20K will be hit. Why? Because they can.  It has no real significance except for goofy people on CNBC to put on DOW 20K hats

12.28.2016 Bookmark

12.28.2016

Good morning everyone, welcome to Wednesday.  

Yesterday was a low volume session, where the indexes hovered around the unchanged line for most of the day. While they did manage to tack on 11 DOW points and 5 S&P's, it was a tough session to endure. We only beat Friday's volume by a few million shares, making it one of the lowest volume days of the year. 

8.10.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

8.10.2016

Good morning all, welcome to another day. Let's hope it's not as boring as yesterday!  Sheesh!  Yesterday the volume on the SPY was just 12 million at 1 pm. They finally picked up the pace late in the session ( that's when the Central banks do their buying and most company orders for buy backs take place) but it still ended the day at just 51 million.  That might be the second lowest of the year

3.23.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

3.23.2016

Good morning all, welcome to another day....

Yesterday was the lowest volume day of the year. The day before that was up until then, the lowest volume day of the year. Last week if you take out the options expiration day, we had the lowest volume days of the year.

Yet the market has held up remarkably.

3.16.2016 - Insiders Club Bookmark

3.16.2016

Hello all, welcome to Yellen day....

Tuesday was the lowest volume day of the year. Monday was the second lowest volume day of the year.  No one wanted to make a move ahead of the Fed. Well, today is decision day.

There's a lot of things in play right now. The Fed's are in a strange predicament as they've told the world we're doing really well, with virtually "full" employment. Yet that doesn't jive with 0.25% interest rates.  It looks stupid.  So for them to continue to "wait" on normalizing rates, just lends to the idea that the Fed's are happy rigging the markets higher

Insiders Club - 9.16.2015 Bookmark

9.16.2015

Hello everyone, welcome to day 1 of the two day Fed meeting.

Yesterday they manufactured a low volume market romp. It caught most people a bit off guard, myself included. While I thought the market had some head room to levitate a bit higher, I didn't think we'd be seeing 230 DOW points. Well, we got just that.

1.11.2015 Financial Intelligence Report Bookmark

More 2015 Views

On Wednesday we put forth one of our views concerning what might happen during 2015 and we said that 1) the Fed’s would hike interest rates, but only by a quarter of a point, meaning it is for show rather than effect, and 2) the Feds will NOT restart QE.

Today we’re going to explore another item on the question list…Is the US and Russia going to be in a shooting war? Interestingly that question is tied directly to the reason why we feel the Fed’s will hike rates, and will  not do any QE.  Let me explain…

It is our belief that the Fed’s know the US debt is too big, the economy too damaged and ultimately the system is going to experience a hefty crash. If they fight it with more QE, and keep rates at zero, when the crash happens everyone will know there’s no reason to ever have a Central bank. It would be obvious that they can fix nothing. Thus, they’re acting like the economy is great, all is well, and they will go along with that charade by tossing a token rate hike at us and NOT doing any QE.  But they’re praying for an “event”. Something so big, that when the economy fails, they can blame it on the event, and not their impotence.

Insiders Club - 1.5.2015 Bookmark

1.5.2015

Good morning all, welcome to the new year, new week, and new twists and turns....

My morning is already a bit goofy. I use several computers on a daily basis, and this morning one of them simply refuses to boot up. So I've just wasted about an hour of my day trying most of the tricks that generally work when a computer is being stubborn, but to no avail yet.

So I'm already behind the 8 ball this morning, a horrible way to start the new  week!

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